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陸股2日跌破4000點大關後,3日無視官方重磅利多護盤,繼續崩跌,滬指重挫5.77%,以3686.92點作收。累計自6月中旬高點5178點以來,滬指在3星期內跌逾千點,跌幅逼近3成,蒸發的市值已達到2.36兆美元(折合新台幣70兆),相當於希臘去年GDP的10倍。對此,有專家警告陸股崩盤,對全球經濟衝擊,後果更甚希臘脫歐。

希臘即將在本周日(7月5日)進行全民公投,決定是否退出歐元區,許多人擔心希臘問題將再度造成全球金融市場動盪不安。不過,有專家指出,實際上現在該擔心的不是希臘,而是中國大陸。

比希臘脫歐嚴重

彭博引述匯豐銀行亞洲經濟研究部聯合主管Frederic Neumann的談話,指出過去10年,中國經濟是世界經濟的引擎,儘管希臘事件充滿戲劇性,但是希臘很難最終成為世界經濟的決定性因素。中國股市崩跌造成的影響恐怕要比希臘脫歐還嚴重。

他認為,中國金融市場雖然因其封閉性質,所以股市暴跌未能直接影響全球市場,但若中國股市真的崩盤,將衝擊中國國內需求,也會讓過去10年全球經濟重要的成長引擎熄火。

最近一項彭博調查顯示,分析師對股市崩盤是否會影響中國經濟增長意見不一。不過有一點要注意,隨著中國股市逐漸開放,其大幅波動將對全球股市產生更大的影響,將比希臘問題,更值得關注。

國家隊無力回天

實際上,中國股市和高點相比,目前已經蒸發的市值也相當於把整個法國股市市值全部賠光。

路透報導,中國股市狂瀉,股民認為這是國家之恥,不少人怪罪美國等外國勢力搞鬼,蓄意做空中國中車等個股,想操縱股市崩盤。類似言論在網路瘋傳,逼得當局出面否認,稱高盛等外資並未做空中國股市。

許多專家都表示,滬指在4000點是不應跌破的心理防線,當局必須祭出更多措施,否則市場還會再跌。不過雖然政府頻頻釋出利多政策,國家隊相關基金也已經出手護盤,但面對投資人信心潰堤,國家隊似乎無力回天,指數已跌到3700點以下。

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Greece's Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, center, speaks to the media after voting at a polling station in Athens, Sunday, July 5, 2015. Greeks began voting early Sunday in a closely-watched, ... 較多Greece's Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras, center, speaks to the media after voting at a polling station in Athens, Sunday, July 5, 2015. Greeks began voting early Sunday in a closely-watched, closely-contested referendum, which the government pits as a choice over whether to defy the country's creditors and push for better repayment terms or essentially accept their terms, but which the opposition and many of the creditors paint as a choice between staying in the euro or leaving it. (AP Photo/Spyros Tsakiris) 較少











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Associated Press | 拍攝者 Spyros Tsakiris





2015年7月5日週日 台北標準時間下午4時09分





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